01 / Economics & Trade

Markets move.
Evidence moves
decisions.

Trade shocks, weak productivity and fragmented policy are rarely isolated problems. We connect economic intelligence with the incentives facing firms, institutions and people — then design responses that can be implemented.

Macroeconomic diagnosticsTrade policy & market accessProductive capacityEnterprise competitiveness

Explore the economic decision lab

RESEARCH → ACTIONTrade,
understood.Evidence · Incentives · Reform

01 / POLICYEconomic signals

02 / MARKETSDemand & access

03 / FIRMSProductivity & costs

04 / PEOPLEJobs & welfare

Diagnose → Model → Reform → Measure

Field of practice / 01
Economics as a decision discipline.

From national trade transitions to firm-level competitiveness, different problems require different evidence — and different levers.

Where research creates value

Five lenses. One connected economy.

IP3 works across trade policy, markets, productivity, business regulation and the institutions that translate reforms into real outcomes. Each lens below powers a public- and private-sector scenario.

01 / TRANSITION

Trade
architecture

LDC graduation, preferences and negotiating choices.

02 / SHOCKS

Market
access

Tariffs, demand sensitivity and export exposure.

03 / SERVICES

Digital
trade

Services competitiveness, regulations and market entry.

04 / CAPACITY

Productive
systems

Technology adoption, green trade and efficiency.

05 / REFORM

Business
climate

Institutional friction, firm constraints and regulatory change.

Interactive / Economic decision laboratory

From market friction to policy intelligence.

SELECT A LENS TO BEGIN

Decision guide · synthetic illustration

How sensitive are export volumes and receipts to tariffs, exchange rates and demand elasticity?

Method: Constant-elasticity demand with an assumed 60% exchange-rate pass-through. All indices use a baseline of 100. Positive FX change means depreciation: more local currency per US dollar.
Key assumption: Baseline indices are 100. FX pass-through is assumed to be 60%; elasticity is selected, not estimated.
Reading the threshold: Compare each index with 100 and test the direction of change. An index below 100 is a modelled decline, not evidence of a welfare loss of the same size.

Evidence needed before a real decision

Obtain product–destination tariffs, transaction prices, volumes, capacity and competitor data; estimate elasticities and pass-through before advising on policy.

Partial-equilibrium sensitivity only; no welfare, employment or general-equilibrium estimate.

Trade & economic decision architectureCase 01 of 10 · Public sector

01 / PUBLIC POLICY TRANSITION

Preparing an economy for life beyond trade preferences.

LDC graduation alters preference margins, financing conditions and the terms of competition. Research helps sequence a transition rather than react to each shock separately.

01 / CURRENT CONSTRAINT

Preferences at risk. Readiness unclear.

Fragmented intelligence on preferences and access
Gaps in productive capacity and export diversification
Financing and reform priorities disconnected

03 / DECISION STATE

A sequenced trade-transition strategy.

Evidence-based risks and opportunity map
Prioritised policy and financing responses
Institutional and EU engagement roadmap

02 / Analytical methods and evidence

Trade preference gap analysisSector competitiveness reviewProductive capacity indicatorsPolicy and financing options

04 / Where decisions change

DiagnoseLocate the exposure

NegotiatePrioritise partners

ImplementPhase reforms

05 / Interactive trade-shock workbench

What happens when market conditions change?

ILLUSTRATIVE MODEL · NOT A FORECAST

Stress-test a stylised exporter. Change an incremental import tariff, domestic-currency depreciation, and demand elasticity to see possible directional pressure on trade quantities and receipts.

Export volume index90.3/ 100↘

-9.7% vs baseline

USD export receipts index86.3/ 100

Producer price × export quantity

Local-currency receipts93.2/ 100

USD receipts × FX index

Foreign buyer price index107.0/ 100

Producer price + foreign tariff

Sensitivity curve / export volumeFX +8% · elasticity 1.5

Fixed FX and elasticity Selected tariff

Incremental import tariff 12%

Assumed ad valorem charge on imports in the destination market.

Domestic-currency depreciation +8%

Negative values represent appreciation; 60% of exchange movement affects exporter USD prices.

Demand elasticity 1.5

Absolute price elasticity of buyer demand, held constant in this simple illustration.

Transparent assumptions: producer USD price factor = 1 − 0.60 × d/(1+d); buyer price factor = (1+tariff) × producer price factor; quantity index = 100 × buyer price factor^{−elasticity}. This is a static partial-equilibrium teaching model; it excludes input costs, firm margins, product substitution, other regulations and adjustment over time. It is not an estimate of Bangladesh’s exports or of any CV project.

Evidence boundary: All applications are hypothetical. Illustrative cases, responses and all simulated metrics are not claims of measured impact.

01 / 10

From economic signals to market outcomes

Interpret the incentives.
Change the conditions.

Strong economic advice is more than a chart or a recommendation. It joins credible research, public institutions, enterprise realities and implementation discipline — with results that can be monitored and challenged.

Explicit about uncertainty.

The scenarios demonstrate analytical methods and possible decision outputs. Assumptions are synthetic. These hypothetical examples do not document client results.

Markets move.Evidence movesdecisions.

Five lenses. One connected economy.

Tradearchitecture

Marketaccess

Digitaltrade

Productivesystems

Businessclimate